2010年9月8日 星期三

Climate shifts "not to blame" for African civil war" (transcript from BBC, UK on 08/09/2010)

'Climate change is not responsible for civil wars in Africa, a study suggests.'
It has been a while that I didn't post new articles on to my blog partly because of my laziness and partly because I did not find any good topices that stimulate my nerve to write! Prior reading above transcript from BBC, UK today; I cannot help myself to drop down my views without hesitation.
In accordance to the article, the senior researcher Halvard Buchang of the Peace Research Instute Oslo's Centre for the Study of civil War has challenged previous researcher's assumptions on climate changes and civil war in Africa.
In summary, I can agree with some of his points but also disagree with the others.
A:- It is quite clear that civil war in African such as Sudan has been dragging on for decades which poverty and ethnic tensions as well as sectarian conflicts which inflicted the consequences.
In the meantime, heaps of solid scientific evidence has to be taken into account to proof such assumptions.
D:- global climate change mitigation and adaptation really matters regardless of uncertainty about the links between climate changes & conflicts.
On the other hand, I am highly skeptical that there are close link between climate changes with civil war in Africa. Here is my views:
Per mentioned previously; civil war has various complications; poverty, starvations, economic disparity etc., what I queries most; if climate changes didn't take place, there will be much less draught and prolonged heat wave, environment turns out to be normal with abundant rainfall which enable/enhance people to grow their food avoiding from starvations. How come once could determine climate changes is not to blame for civil war in Africa???
As COP16 Summit will be held towards end of 2010 in Mexico, we may closely monitor future outcome of this conference.
A= Agree; D=Disagree